Page 20 - JSOM Fall 2018
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of case order might affect performance. Case 3 had uniformly   4, and 5 averaged 2.5, 3, and 3.3, respectively. Turn number
          satisfactory results, although a cadet and the fellow paused a   appeared to be associated with patient build, because turn
          couple of seconds in their first test at the moment the word   number was increased with greater limb girth (Figure 2). The
          “child” was heard. Case 3 was to be mechanically easy but   lowest average was for the patient with a small build, and the
          psychologically surprising, and the two users slowed their   highest average was for the patient with a large build and the
          movements briefly as they mentally figured out that there was   need for use of a second tourniquet side by side with the first.
          nothing extra to do. Case 4 had 75% (nine of 12) satisfactory
          results; the three unsatisfactory tests resulted from an incor­  FIGURE 2  Results of windlass turn number by build of patient.
          rect tourniquet placement, but none ended in a bleeding sta­
          tus. Case 4 was to be moderately difficult because it simulated
          care under gunfire, but such was a common way users had
          learned and practiced previously. Case 5 had 58% (seven of
          12) satisfactory results; five unsatisfactory tests were from an
          incorrect second tourniquet placement (one of which also had
          a first tourniquet incorrectly placed), and three of these five
          tests ended in a bleeding status. Case 5 was designed to be
          most challenging due to its extra steps and decisions.

          User performance varied. Users 1, 2, 3, and 4 had unsatisfac­
          tory test counts of four, three, two, and one, respectively. Plots   The chart shows the mean number of windlass turns by build of pa­
                                                             tient with case information. On average, turn number appeared to be
          showed two patterns of learning (Figure 1). By block, satisfac­  associated with limb girth.
          tory results were 50% (six of 12) for block 1 and 83% (10 of
          12) for blocks 2 and 3. As a group, users learned quickly from   Discussion
          the first to second block but then plateaued.
                                                             Our key finding in this study was that the judgment results
          FIGURE 1  Performance and prediction results by user.
                                                             have plausible applicability to first aid. This finding served
                                                             our purpose because we apply tourniquet science to medical
                                                             readiness. Our preliminary look at how users of limb tour­
                                                             niquets made judgments was in line with our expectations.
                                                             The results of the answers and the performances were anal­
                                                             ogously similar to those seen in previous studies of judgment
                                                             science. Such plausibility may indicate that development of
                                                             feasible techniques and methods may eventually lead to de­
                                                             veloping valid tools for first­aid caregivers in the operational
                                                             health community. Several topics may be worthy of research
                                                             hypotheses (Table 3). We usually have studied simulated care­
                                                             giving, but in this study, we specifically changed our view to
          The graph depicts performance results from the manikin for the four   simulate the simulation of caregiving. By simulating the train­
          users. There are 12 tests per user because the three tests without bleed­
          ing dropped out of this analysis; we lettered the 12 to differentiate these   ing of caregivers with different clinical cases, we took a direct
          results from those of all 15 tests per user. These results were accrued   look at how tourniquet users actually perform when the sit­
          test by test so that the y­axis is a percentage (number of satisfactory   uation has a moderate degree of uncertainty. In the past, we
          tests divided by number of accrued tests). The reliability threshold is   had repeatedly tested only one case to look at topics other
          drawn at 80% (black dashed line), and two users (users 3 and 4, green   than judgment. There is not much uncertainty in test numbers
          line and triangle and red line and square, respectively) attained it. By
          user, their self­predicted point of becoming reliable is overlaid by an   2–140 if the user remembered the case information test to test.
          oversized marker. The three users (users 1 through 3) with less experi­  The within­block randomization led to a moderate degree of
          ence started with an unsatisfactory result. The two users (users 1 and   uncertainty for the first block; and the second block had less
          2, violet line and circle and blue line and cross, respectively) with least   uncertainty than the first, because all five cases were repeated;
          experience had similar results throughout as most (75%; nine of 12)
          of their data points were identical, and these two were the only users   and the third block had the least uncertainty, because the user
          who did not attain reliability. These plots are a type of learning curve,   became more familiar with the cases as experience was ac­
          and the expert, user 4 (red line and square), shows a nearly flat per­  crued. We do not recommend testing user judgment in this
          formance, an effect commonly seen after prelearning. The other three   way for novice users, because the skills required are multiple
          users showed a typical pattern. The metric here starts (at the left) as a   and complex, but we found that the advanced beginners here
          binary measure (either 0% or 100%), because the first try is either sat­
          isfactory or unsatisfactory. Such small numbers in the numerator and   (two cadets) and the competent user (the fellow) realized the
          denominator greatly affect the percentage. At the end, the percentages   testing to be worthwhile and hard. The expert found the test­
          tend to change little, and in the middle, changes from test to test are   ing to be a good drill. It also changed how he thought about
          moderate. The area under these curves distorts the amount of success   matching types of testing to the skill levels of users. Further­
          for each user, but the curves show trajectories of reliability by user.
                                                             more, the change by block in performance for the group of
                                                             users may indicate a learning curve, because performance im­
          When ease of use was parsed by results among 48 tests with   proved quickly then flattened.
          bleeding, satisfactory results averaged 4.74 (very easy was 5)
          and unsatisfactory results averaged 4.05 (easy was 4).  The first minor finding was a surprise knuckleball, because
                                                             we had designed a new challenge of judging when and how to
          When turn number of windlass use was parsed by cases among   use two tourniquets side by side, but we chose a setting of care
          48 tests with bleeding, case 2 averaged 3, whereas cases 3,   under gunfire. However, after we started collecting data, such


          18  |  JSOM   Volume 18, Edition 3 / Fall 2018
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