Page 19 - JSOM Fall 2018
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commonly in care situations when initial tourniquet pressure   one (blood loss) differs from the other (neurogenic dysfunc­
              is marginally acceptable or tourniquet use is lengthy.  tion). Sports announcers can retrospectively pick the turning
                                                                 point of a ballgame with ease (as if an audience demands that
              Item 4 was if someone in need of tourniquet use has bled to   the story has to have something that must be the cause of the
              death, would the respondent regret it more if they were the   outcome), but it is hard to predict such.
              only person available to apply a tourniquet or someone else
              was instead. All  users  noted that  regret  loomed  large  over   In item 8, users predicted when their performance would begin
              judgment, as found in prior works. 3,24–26         to be reliable with a specific definition of reliability. The first
                                                                 cadet answered test 1 incorrectly, although she had previously
              In item 5, the fellow and the clinician­scientist answered cor­  aced all 80 tests in a prior study. But she was not reliable in
              rectly that the flow in a half­closed artery was normal.  To the   the present study and peaked with 73% at test 14. The second
                                                       27
              contrary, the cadets answered incorrectly that it was half the   cadet answered test 13 incorrectly despite having satisfactorily
              normal flow. This item addressed a fluid mechanics phenom­  completed 76 of 80 tests in the prior study. But he was not
              enon, the Venturi effect, which is relevant to the assessment   reliable in the present study, peaking at 75% at test 15. The
              of bleeding in first aid. The question was framed to allow the   fellow answered test 12 incorrectly and test 13 correctly. The
              respondent to adjust their prediction by using two relevant   clinician­scientist answered test 1 correctly (all good results).
              values as maximum and minimum bounds, normal and no   The clinician­scientist created item 8 to check for a pattern
              flow, respectively. All users assumed that the use of the word   that was revealed as follows: users with more skills and expe­
              “flow” meant volumetric flow rate and not simply the velocity   rience were noted to be more accurate in assessing their own
              of that flow.                                      skills and experience. 33

              Item 6 questioned which factor is most associated with a need   Item 9 was like item 8 except the user judged when he or she
              for side­by­side use of tourniquets, and the responses by three   would remain reliable. The first and second cadet answered
              users  were all  different  but incorrect.  The  clinician­scientist   test 1 and 13, respectively. Both were incorrect and never be­
              answered correctly, mentioning the limb girth. At the site of   came reliable. The fellow answered test 13 correctly. The cli­
              tourniquet use, greater limb girth increases the need for a sec­  nician­scientist answered test 1 correctly. The sought pattern
              ond tourniquet used side by side with the first.  The frequency   was again seen: Users with more skills and experience in as­
                                                 11
              of girth causing such increase is greater than any other factor.   sessing their own skills and experience were more accurate in
              The  greater  girth  commonly  occurs  in  adult  patients,  espe­  assessing their own skills and experience. Although the finding
              cially with tourniquet use on the proximal thigh,  the limb   sounds circular, it is not.  It is spiral.
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                                                                                    33
              region of greatest girth. 28,29
                                                                 Item 10 defined minimal important difference for blood loss, and
              Item 7 dealt with the blood­loss volume, which was associated   three users judged 100mL, and the clinician­scientist answered
              with the severest degree (class IV) of hemorrhagic shock.    177mL, a value noted by educators.  Users answers were within
                                                                                           34
                                                            30
              Three users answered “true” that such volume had caused that   the mid­range of others we have polled over the years.
              degree for an individual patient, and the clinician­scientist an­
              swered “false,” because causation was indeterminable in such   Tourniquet Use Testing
              a way. The three users conflated association with causation,    Overall results among 60 tests were as follows: 38 were sat­
                                                            31
              and the coherent story of the item was written to allow readers   isfactory (“go” status); 12 were not applicable because there
              to jump to the conclusion of the storyline being about cau­  was no bleeding, so users judged not to intervene; and 10 were
              sality as opposed to sampling.  The clinician­scientist knew   unsatisfactory (“no go”). Unsatisfactory results were due to
                                      3,4
              that the association between blood loss and shock severity was   one test with a loose tourniquet and nine tests with 10 in­
              well established on average, but interpatient variability in that   correct tourniquet placements (i.e., not at the right location).
              association has long been shown to be large, thereby making   Results are shown in Table 2.
              causation impossible to determine from a single occurrence.
                                                            29
              The clinician­scientist was aware (1) that the shock informa­  Each case resulted in a different pattern. Case 1 was uniformly
              tion 30,32  was based on a 70kg man (the item allowed users to   (100%) passed; users identified an absence of bleeding in each
              discount unspecified possibilities, because neither mass nor   of its 12 tests; the manikin was not turned on, and no lights
              sex was noted),  (2) the relevant ranges of body weight were   on meant no bleeding. Case 1 was to be procedurally easy,
                          6
              known, 28,29  (3)  that compelling stories  are likely  to have us   but we also wanted to see if users could reliably decide not
              think of potential causes to potential effects, 3,26  and (4) that   to intervene. Case 2 had 83% (10 of 12) satisfactory results.
              it takes effort to abstain from the favorite sport of humans:   The two unsatisfactory tests resulted from an incorrect tour­
              jumping  to  conclusions.   As  a counterexample,  a  gunshot   niquet placement and a loose tourniquet, but neither ended
                                 3
              wound through abdominal blood vessels and the spinal cord   in a bleeding status. Case 2 was to be mechanically easy, but
              result in shock associated with both lesions, but the cause of   we also wanted to see if the uncertainty from randomization
              TABLE 2  Results for All 48 Tests Requiring Mechanical Intervention
                                    Parameter                       Mean    Minimum   Maximum   Median    Range
              Time to determination of bleeding control, seconds      44        16       217       32      201
              Total trial time, seconds                               67        24       248       54      224
              Blood loss volume, mL                                  268        99      1069      225      970
              Pressure, mmHg                                         411       256       572      391      316
              Ease of use (1, very difficult; 2, difficult; 3, neutral; 4, easy; 5, very easy)  4.6  3  5  5  2


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