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underlying epidemiology of disease burden requiring evacua-  TABLE 1  Casualties Requiring Prolonged Field Care by Percentage
          tion from the anticipated battlefield of tomorrow. 6  Casualty Type
                                                                 (Number)           Description      Percentage
          Methods                                             Disease Non-Battle  Personnel whose injuries were   45.29
                                                                            not caused by direct enemy
                                                              Injury (DNBI)
          This study is predicated on the critical hypothesis that any   (226/499)  action
          patient who requires a higher level of care, and is unable to     Disease (35/499)  Individuals with a medical illness
          access that care due to operational constraints, becomes a PFC    that excludes the musculoskeletal   (7.01)
          patient from the perspective of medical personnel within a        system
          Special Operations task force (SOTF). In an attempt to find      Orthopedic Injury  Individuals with a   (38.28)
                                                               (191/499)
                                                                            musculoskeletal injury
          a representative  patient population where information was
          available regarding all illness  and injury incurred while de-  Dental Patients   Patients requiring significant   17.03
                                                                            dental work that precludes
                                                              (85/499)
          ployed, the research of Murray et al. noting epidemiologic        effective service (e.g., root canal)
          trends within a Role II medical facility in Iraq from 2003 to   Wounded in Action  Injuries caused by direct enemy
          2004 appeared the most applicable.  Specifically, this research   (WIA) (150/499)  action and the individual survives  30.06
                                      7
          reflected intense ground combat operations, concurrent stabil-  Psychiatric Patients  Personnel with a behavioral
          ity operations, the effects of a diverse patient pool (i.e., female   (38/499)  health condition requiring   7.62
          Soldiers), and an austere environment with little supporting      treatment that is not supportable
          host nation medical infrastructure.                               in theater
          Murray et al. reported 341 total evacuations, 35 inpatients, and   FIGURE 1  PFC casualty estimation.
          84 dental patients (i.e., root canal patients) who would have
          likely required additional care that would exceed the organic
          capabilities of a SOTF.  In examining this literature further, it is
                           7
          shown that 150 patients were wounded in action (WIA) from
          the 341 total evacuations. Of the remaining evacuations, 191
          were due to orthopedic injuries. Notably, this study excluded
          behavioral health cases, as these were exclusively seen by a
          neighboring combat stress control team. However, reports from
          World War II cite approximately 20% of all “battle casualties”
          were the result of neuropsychiatric causes.  The authors posit
                                           8
          that the World War II “battle casualty” statistic correlates most
          closely to today’s WIA definition. Therefore, if we assume that
          a future MDO battlefield will be inherently stressful, then ap-
          plying a 20% metric to compensate for this missed pathology   TABLE 2  Estimated Prolonged Field Care Casualties by Type
          would reflect 38 patients (as calculated by (150/0.8) – 150) re-     Per 100,000   Per SOTF    Per AOB
          quiring evacuation for a behavioral health concern. In total, this   Casualty Type  per Year  per Year  per Year
          represents 499 serious medical cases that would have been PFC   WIA (30.06%)  2,796  14      4
          patients had the necessary ancillary services or evacuation not   Disease (7.01%)  652  4    1
          been available. The complete breakdown of patients by type al-
          lows for an overall percentage calculation that can then be ap-  Orthopedic (38.28%)  3,561  18  5
          plied to different populations in a hypothetical future scenario.   Dental (17.03%)  1,584  8  2
          This information is shown in Table 1. Graphically, this would   Psychiatric (7.62%)  709  4  1
          appear as the distribution shown in Figure 1.       Total (100%)       9,302       48        13

          Although these percentages are useful, they remain difficult to   presented during an anticipated MDO, a balanced approach
          apply unless an underlying casualty rate is known. According   that encompasses the expected disease burden involved in PFC
          to Belmont et al., 6,990 WIAs were observed for each 100,000   must be pursued.
          troop years for an Army Brigade combat team during the Op-
          eration Iraqi Freedom “surge.”  Per Murray et al., 40% of all   Discussion
                                  9
          WIAs seen at the Role II were evacuated. Therefore, 40% of
          6,990 total WIAs is 2,796 patients. If this number, in turn, re-  Foremost,  do the  aforementioned  estimations  make  sense?
          flects 30.06% of the total PFC casualty estimation, then for a   From the collective authors’ experience, we believe they do.
          population of 100,000 soldiers deployed for 1 year, we would   Additionally,  the  diversity  in  the  types  of  cases  included  in
          expect to see 9,302 total PFC cases within this hypothetical   these estimations speaks to the benefit of the broad and inten-
          population. Adjusting accordingly for unit size using 500 per-  sive training SFMSs receive. By approximating which catego-
          sonnel SOTF and 120 personnel Special Forces Operational   ries of disease are likely to occur, and in what quantities, this
          Detachment–Bravo (SFOD-B) approximations, the following   knowledge will assist in making crucial decisions regarding
          allocation of PFC cases would arise (see Table 2).  training and preparation. Acknowledging the 380 skill tasks
                                                             represented in the STP, revised to 313 tasks in the SFMS criti-
          Given these extrapolations, it is clear that PFC is not simply   cal task list in July 2008, it becomes apparent that some may
          the extension of Tactical Combat Casualty Care (TCCC) stan-  be far more useful to prioritize in a PFC training program.
          dards for a protracted duration. On the contrary, because SOF   However, although PFC is a pressing issue, it cannot eclipse
          will be required to manage the entirety of the health concerns   all of the  necessary  training required for  SFMS proficiency.


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